TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
In the same esports competition, the two teams face off again but this time the result depends on the first map of their match, determining which team claims the initial segment of this best-of series.
If MIBR Female wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier 2026: MIBR Female vs. Akave Esports Black Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akave Esports Black wins map 1 in the VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier 2026: MIBR Female vs. Akave Esports Black Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of participants. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook offerings, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting an outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning Map 1. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of Map 1 in the MIBR Female versus Akave Esports Black match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team declared the winner of Map 1 by the official tournament organizers will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competitive event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even roster changes could shift expectations. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also impact perceived team strengths. In-game performance during the early stages of the match itself, if available before resolution, could also cause significant price movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning Map 1 has the potential to drive trading activity and change the market price.