TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for Miami and New York J in their match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores above a particular point threshold in the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the team's points exceed the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds vary across markets, offering multiple levels of scoring expectations for both teams. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific point requirement that must be met for a Yes outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on available information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or other factors influencing the game. It's common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team total point ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The goal is to create a market where the prices accurately represent the likelihood of each team's total points, allowing participants to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Miami and New York will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. It’s important to note that any official changes or corrections to the game statistics will be reflected in the final resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or New York would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, weather forecasts, or even unexpected coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team performance in preceding games or significant statistical analyses released by sports analysts could shift the probabilities reflected in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.