TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether Ollie Gordon II can achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in a football game between Miami and New York. The outcomes depend entirely on his performance during the match, with various yardage benchmarks set for resolution.
Each market resolves based on whether Ollie Gordon II accumulates the specified number of rushing yards in the full game, including overtime. All contracts are designated as protected: if Gordon participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless he meets or exceeds the yardage requirement, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If he participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by expert analysis, this market can be more responsive to broader public opinion and late-breaking news, leading to potentially different probabilities assigned to outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of the actual rushing yardage falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the market resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final, verified rushing yardage totals to understand the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly the running backs and offensive lines, would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or snow, could affect the teams' offensive strategies and rushing yardage totals. Late-breaking news regarding coaching decisions or game plans could also influence the market. Finally, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and price movements in this market.