TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he reaches various rushing yard thresholds. It allows participants to speculate on the player's potential impact in the match.
The event evaluates whether Ollie Gordon II achieves specified rushing yard milestones during the Miami vs New York J professional football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage threshold (ranging from 25+ to 120+ yards). If Gordon II records the exact or greater number of rushing yards specified in a market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if Gordon II is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle to their fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once he takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the markets settle strictly based on the actual rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation for each yardage target.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds, as more information becomes available and traders refine their predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final rushing yards total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly updating based on new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final rushing yards total from the Miami versus New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the NFL will serve as the definitive source for determining the total rushing yards. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing yards total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also impact the expected rushing yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, even public sentiment and large trades within this market can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.