TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Miami and New York. The focus is on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their involvement in the offensive strategy.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing attempts they record during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 11+, 14+, or 17+ attempts for Ollie Gordon II; 4+, 7+, or 10+ attempts for Malik Willis), and if the player meets or exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. These rules ensure clarity around player participation and the counting of rushing attempts, while also addressing scenarios where a player is on the roster but does not see any game action.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as public opinion shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with the prediction market than with initial sportsbook offerings, as both attempt to forecast the most likely outcome based on available data and informed judgment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempts total from the Miami versus New York game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the official result and the corresponding payout for their contracts following the conclusion of the game. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly running backs or offensive linemen, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also impact the game plan and affect rushing attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts during the game could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or team strategies could lead to substantial shifts in trading activity before Oct 25, 2026.