TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the receiving yards accumulated by two players in the same football game. The payout structure increases significantly as the yardage milestones are achieved, reflecting the escalating value of higher performance levels in terms of financial return for investors.
Each Yes contract pays according to a predefined schedule based on the player's receiving yards, calculated using the formula Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s = official receiving yards. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative receiving yard totals result in a Yes payout of $0.00. The Yes payout is capped at $1.00.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective bids and asks of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the total receiving yards in the Miami vs New York game, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the Miami vs New York game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as recorded by the official league statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the actual combined receiving yards achieved by all eligible receivers in the game, as determined by official sources. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Miami or New York teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis that alters perceptions of the teams’ offensive capabilities could lead to price fluctuations before Oct 25, 2026.