TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Miami vs New York J: Passing Interceptions
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs New York J?

Volume:
$80,743

Geno Smith: 1+

 - Kalshi

Geno Smith: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:47 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Geno Smith: 1+

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,346
N/A
N/A
$3,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,763
N/A
N/A
$67,835
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,456
N/A
N/A
$6,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$406
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how often their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. It examines different thresholds of interception counts to evaluate risk and predictive outcomes for bettors.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks, Geno Smith or Malik Willis, record specific numbers of passing interceptions in the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different interception threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each quarterback. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, and the outcome for each is determined solely by the applicable threshold for the specific quarterback and interception count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing interceptions market tracks the current price of contracts representing the number of passing interceptions thrown during the specified game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $79,337. The total volume traded on this market is $80,743. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and gauge the overall interest in different outcomes for this event. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of expectations surrounding interceptions.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Therefore, you may see discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, different interpretations of data, or simply differing opinions among bettors and market participants. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the event occurs, and the price reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring, and traders can use this information to make informed decisions. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and opinions shift among participants.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown in the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by official league sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data. Traders will be able to view the final result and the payout of their contracts following the completion of the game and the official release of statistics.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding the quarterbacks’ recent performance, injuries to key players on either team (especially the receiving corps or defensive backs), or changes in weather conditions (like heavy rain or wind) could all impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or defensive schemes could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant public attention or analysis focusing on the matchup and potential for interceptions could drive trading activity and move the price.