TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players or units exceed predefined fantasy point thresholds based on standardized scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) of the Miami vs New York J Pro Football match scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market specifies a player or team unit (MIA Dolphins D/ST or NY Jets D/ST) and a threshold fantasy point value; if the specified entity records above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Players not participating or未被Sleeper分配幻想积分值将计为0分。所有幻想积分值均使用Sleeper在到期日发布的数值,无需额外四舍五入,且到期后对结果的更正不予考虑。评分系统包括传球、冲刺、接球、踢球以及防守和特殊队伍的贡献,每项具体规则均明确定义了各类动作的积分。防守队伍的积分基于允许的对手得分区间计算。
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or varying levels of expertise among participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges and traders adjust their forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective assessment of the likelihood of each fantasy point total. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, revealing the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for both teams in the Miami vs New York game will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will occur after official statistics are released and independently verified. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total fantasy points scored will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or updated player performance projections could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game, or even late-breaking news about team strategies, could also cause volatility. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could drive price changes, as could shifts in public opinion reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis.