TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates the performance of three players in an upcoming football game between Miami and New York. Each player's performance is measured by their Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points, which combine various in-game statistics into a single score used in fantasy football leagues.
Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by the specified player during the game, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and limited to a maximum payout of $1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign the player a fantasy-point figure for the specified week, the player is deemed to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy ladder standings for the Miami and New York teams as determined by the official fantasy sports provider. The specific criteria for determining the winner will be based on the official rules of the fantasy league. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team performance would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding player trades or shifts in coaching strategies could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, broader trends in fantasy sports participation or changes in the scoring system could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.