TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming football game between Miami and New York. It specifically evaluates performance during the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the 4th quarter of the designated Pro Football game between Miami and New York J, excluding overtime. If one team scores more points than the other in that quarter, the corresponding market for that team resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the 4th quarter, all team markets resolve to No, and the Tie market resolves to Yes. The outcome is strictly determined by 4th quarter performance, with no consideration given to the overall game result or any periods beyond regulation time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome, and the price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team to win, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery, allowing the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. The current implied probability of a Miami win in the 4th quarter is reflected in the contract prices available on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Miami vs New York game will be declared the winner for the purpose of this market. Resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players during the game itself would also be a significant catalyst. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the game will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.