TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Miami vs New York J: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs New York?

Volume:
$39,817

New York J wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

New York J wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York J wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,240
N/A
N/A
$9,091
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York J wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,456
N/A
N/A
$8,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York J wins by over 3.5 points

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,939
N/A
N/A
$6,695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,853
N/A
N/A
$3,485
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,136
N/A
N/A
$2,136
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,052
N/A
N/A
$1,948
Settled
No
kalshi

New York J wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,013
N/A
N/A
$2,013
Settled
No
kalshi

New York J wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,925
N/A
N/A
$1,835
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,637
N/A
N/A
$1,613
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
$956
Settled
No
kalshi

New York J wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming professional football game between Miami and New York. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will dominate the final quarter of play.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Miami and New York in the fourth quarter of their scheduled game on October 25, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning margin: New York must win by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or Miami must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter. If the game is rescheduled or canceled, all markets will be voided. Only points scored within the standard fourth-quarter timeframe count, with no consideration for overtime scoring. The outcome hinges entirely on the exact margin of victory in that specific quarter, making each threshold a distinct measure of dominance.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Miami vs New York spread tracks the current price of the contract, representing the implied probability of various outcomes in the 4th quarter. You can view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour volume indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently. Currently, the total volume for this market is $39,817, with $14,667 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations surrounding the game's final quarter.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professionals, while this market aggregates insights from anyone who participates. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in, such as subtle team news or public sentiment. However, both aim to accurately forecast the outcome of the Miami vs New York game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the Miami vs New York spread.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Miami vs New York game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions shortly after the game concludes.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected performance in earlier quarters of the game, or adjustments made by coaches during halftime, might also lead to shifts in the market. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, as they can influence the overall perception of each team’s chances in the 4th quarter.