TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a professional football game. Bettors can assess whether the combined offensive performance will exceed certain point thresholds, offering varied levels of challenge based on the chosen threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Miami and New York J during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for 'Yes' resolution, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately against the actual game score. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their prices based on new information and their own assessment of the likelihood of different scenarios. As more volume is traded, the price tends to become more accurate, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd Quarter Total of the Miami vs New York game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official confirmation is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players during the game itself will also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly move the price, especially closer to the game’s start time. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.