TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between Miami and New York. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during that quarter, with a tie resulting in a distinct resolution.
If New York J wins the 2nd Quarter of the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins the 2nd Quarter of the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the Miami vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely winner or an opportunity for arbitrage. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the potential winner of the second quarter. The goal is to predict the outcome accurately and profit from correctly anticipating the market’s movement.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Miami vs New York game will be declared the winner of this market. Any official data source used to determine the winner will be widely accepted and publicly available. The resolution process ensures a transparent and accurate determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance during the first quarter of the game would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is reacting to new information before this market resolves.