TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the combined scoring in a specific quarter of a football game exceeds various thresholds. Bettors assess offensive performance and game momentum for that quarter only. Outcomes depend entirely on points scored during the designated quarter of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the designated Miami vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a different threshold: 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points. If the combined second-quarter points exceed the market's threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count, regardless of scoring in other quarters. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, as the market digests news and analysis. This can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the second quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that total occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts predicting a higher total, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second quarter of the Miami vs New York game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or New York teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and therefore the price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's expectations.