TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between Miami and New York J during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Outcomes depend on whether either team achieves specific scoring margins within that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential scored during the second quarter of the Miami vs New York J game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for victory margins, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for both teams. If the specified team wins the second quarter by more than the stated margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count, regardless of the overall game result. These markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game's outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can highlight where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each potential outcome, providing a dynamic view of expectations for the Miami vs New York game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Miami vs New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning contract. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the game and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could also prompt adjustments in this market as traders react to new information. Unexpected developments during the first quarter of the game itself will likely cause substantial price fluctuations as the market adjusts to the unfolding events and reassesses the probability of different outcomes.