TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between Miami and New York. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the latter half of the match, excluding any points scored in the first half.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the second half (including overtime) of the designated football game. If New York scores more points than Miami in the second half, the 'New York J' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Miami scores more points than New York in the second half, the 'Miami' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the second half, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes, and both team-specific markets resolve to No. Only points scored during the second half count toward the resolution, and overtime periods are included in the evaluation.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller group of experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional considerations into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the second half of the Miami vs New York game will determine the resolution. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the second-half winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance during the first half of the game would likely have a significant impact, as traders adjust their predictions based on the observed momentum. Major upsets in other games that affect playoff positioning could also indirectly influence the market, as teams may adjust their level of effort. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the second half has the potential to move this market.