TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Miami vs New York City
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs New York City?

Volume:
$2,250,669

Miami

 - Kalshi

Miami - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 9:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,585,351
N/A
N/A
$1,003,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York City

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457,633
N/A
N/A
$303,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207,685
N/A
N/A
$147,566
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Miami will win its professional MLS soccer game against New York City. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami a 92.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 6.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game outcome, according to Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 14, 2026, as the result of that game will determine resolution, with final settlement expected by October 15, 2026.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Miami vs New York City professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for the Miami market occurs if Miami wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for New York City occurs if they secure a victory within the same timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Miami vs New York City match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome—who will win—changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. The current volume is $2,067,140, and the total volume traded on this market is $2,250,669. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific contest.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individuals trading contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized exchange. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, as traders react quickly to developments.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Miami vs New York City match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations and impact prices. Significant media coverage, expert analysis, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.