TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Miami vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Sacks are counted only during standard play; those occurring during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team, with resolution dependent on whether the recorded sacks meet or exceed the designated level.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total team sacks. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded by each team during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to view the final result and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players known for generating sacks could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the passing game and, consequently, the opportunities for sacks. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from respected football analysts could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.