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Miami vs Minnesota: Rushing Yards Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$1,729

Aaron Jones Sr.

 - Kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:14 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

View
24%
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢
—
N/A
$1,657
N/A
N/A
$1,633
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Malik Willis

View
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Kyler Murray

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the performance of specific players in a football game between Miami and Minnesota, focusing on how many rushing yards each player accumulates. The outcome depends on the actual yardage achieved by each named player during the game. Payouts are calculated based on a fixed rate per yard, with a maximum cap to ensure balanced returns.

Kalshi

The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Miami vs. Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 yards. The No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 yards, Yes contracts pay $0.20 and No contracts pay $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides pay $0.50; and if the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving based solely on the rushing yards accumulated by its respective player.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL rushing yards market tracks the current prices for various rushing yard ladder outcomes for the Miami vs. Minnesota game. You can view the implied probabilities of different yardage ranges being exceeded, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $1,729 and the total overall volume of $1,729. The dashboard also displays the top outcome currently favored by traders, though the probability of that outcome isn’t currently available. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding potential rushing performances.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. This often leads to prediction markets incorporating information more quickly and accurately, especially as new information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the rushing yards ladder. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices tend to converge towards a fair value, representing the market's best estimate of the true probability. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Miami vs. Minnesota game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and the contract corresponding to the correct rushing yard ladder will pay out to its holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could affect the running game. Pre-game reports on team strategies and play-calling tendencies could also influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could cause shifts in the market as traders adjust their expectations for the game's rushing yardage totals.