TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players will get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Miami and Minnesota. It focuses on whether particular players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage and role in the game plan.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Miami vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the stated number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the number of rushing attempts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics for total rushing attempts are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the Miami and Minnesota teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct rushing attempt range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, with inclement weather potentially leading to a more run-heavy approach. Late-breaking news regarding coaching decisions or player matchups could also shift expectations and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.