TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market allows participants to speculate on the receiving performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Miami and Minnesota. Payouts increase progressively with higher receiving yardage achieved by the designated player, creating a tiered reward structure based on statistical outcomes.
Contracts pay out based on the receiving yards accumulated by the specified player in the Miami vs Minnesota game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment above zero increases the payout, following a cubic scaling formula that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula calculates a scaled value from official receiving yards, truncated to multiples of 10 and capped at 200 yards, then applies a cubic function to determine the final payout. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative yardage results pay Yes contracts $0.00. The structure creates progressively higher potential returns for higher yardage achievements while maintaining a balanced risk-reward dynamic between Yes and No positions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to the diverse perspectives and information incorporated by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of player matchups, weather conditions, or even late-breaking news. It's common to see this market odds move in response to information that hasn't yet fully impacted sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to the actual combined receiving yards achieved by the players in the Miami versus Minnesota game. Traders will be able to see the final results and payouts once the official data is available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations. Late-breaking news about defensive strategies or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in expert analysis or betting trends, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.