TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds. Each market evaluates a different player's ability to surpass various yardage benchmarks during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by the players' statistical contributions, independent of broader game results.
All markets evaluate whether designated Miami or Minnesota players achieve specified receiving yard thresholds in the game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named player records the exact or greater number of receiving yards stated in the market title during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the total receiving yards they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with each focusing on different players and varying yardage thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these discrepancies can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receiving yards in the Miami vs Minnesota game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a fluid and responsive environment for trading.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals from the Miami vs Minnesota game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for both teams will be aggregated to determine the total, and that total will be compared against the contract levels offered on Kalshi. The market will settle to 100 for the contract closest to the actual total receiving yards, and 0 for all other contracts. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either the Miami or Minnesota teams would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can drive price movements, reflecting changes in trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to resolution.