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$1,902,097,102

417,059

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Miami vs Minnesota: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$19,817

Kyler Murray: 1+

 - Kalshi

Kyler Murray: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,499
N/A
N/A
$3,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 2+

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,911
N/A
N/A
$4,441
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,531
N/A
N/A
$4,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 3+

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,538
N/A
N/A
$2,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,052
N/A
N/A
$1,982
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 4+

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track the performance of specific quarterbacks in a football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' in-game statistics, reflecting their offensive contributions during the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback—Kyler Murray or Malik Willis—in the Miami vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the named player reaches the stated threshold of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both quarterbacks, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance-based outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Miami versus Minnesota game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $18,722. The total volume traded on this market is $19,817. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment regarding potential touchdown totals.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each possible result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Miami versus Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and transparent determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the game and their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of passing touchdowns. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or play-calling tendencies could shift trader sentiment and cause the market to react accordingly.