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Miami vs Minnesota: Passing Interceptions
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$26,092

Malik Willis: 1+

 - Kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,152
N/A
N/A
$11,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 1+

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,690
N/A
N/A
$10,496
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 2+

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,444
N/A
N/A
$2,079
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
$507
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 3+

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Kyler Murray and Malik Willis in a specific NFL game, focusing on their ability to avoid turnovers. The outcomes depend on how many passing interceptions each player throws during the match, with different thresholds defining various results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the number of passing interceptions recorded by Kyler Murray or Malik Willis in the Miami vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For any player, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing interceptions they record during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions) that determines a 'Yes' outcome, with any failure to meet the threshold resulting in a 'No' outcome. These rules ensure clarity and fairness, particularly in scenarios where a quarterback may not play due to coaching decisions or injuries, while still accounting for the possibility of nullified plays not affecting the final count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Miami vs Minnesota interceptions market displays the current price of contracts representing the number of passing interceptions during the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $21,293. Total volume for this market is $26,092. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the outcome will land, offering insight into the collective prediction.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts, while this market is driven by the collective actions of many traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply the dynamic nature of a live market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbook lines, particularly as game day approaches and more data becomes available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific number of passing interceptions. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe that number of interceptions will occur, or 'no' contracts if they believe it won't. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective prediction.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions during the Miami vs Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine the number of interceptions thrown, and that number will be compared to the contract values traded on Kalshi. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available data.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' recent performance, injury reports affecting their ability to throw accurately, or even weather conditions that might favor a run-heavy offense could all shift trader sentiment. Changes in defensive strategies announced by either team, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a team’s tendency to force interceptions, could also lead to significant price movements. Unexpected late-breaking news is often quickly reflected in the market.