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Miami vs Minnesota: 1st Touchdown
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What is the result of Miami vs Minnesota?

Volume:
$978,339

Ollie Gordon II

 - Kalshi

Ollie Gordon II - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 6:30 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ollie Gordon II

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74,683
N/A
N/A
$53,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carlos Washington Jr.

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
N/A
$5,431
N/A
N/A
$5,008
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,638
N/A
N/A
$72,058
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Addison

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,719
N/A
N/A
$76,264
Settled
No
kalshi

T.J. Hockenson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,372
N/A
N/A
$72,983
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,957
N/A
N/A
$58,691
Settled
No
kalshi

MIN Vikings D/ST

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,158
N/A
N/A
$57,332
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,382
N/A
N/A
$50,859
Settled
No
kalshi

Jauan Jennings

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,274
N/A
N/A
$47,178
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,803
N/A
N/A
$34,693
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Washington

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,350
N/A
N/A
$31,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Greg Dulcich

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,107
N/A
N/A
$34,133
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Miller

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,483
N/A
N/A
$33,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Bell

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,654
N/A
N/A
$17,991
Settled
No
kalshi

Demond Claiborne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,737
N/A
N/A
$20,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Tai Felton

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,156
N/A
N/A
$15,296
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Wright

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,559
N/A
N/A
$9,081
Settled
No
kalshi

Gavin Bartholomew

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,346
N/A
N/A
$9,071
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Coleman Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,412
N/A
N/A
$7,029
Settled
No
kalshi

DeeJay Dallas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,287
N/A
N/A
$4,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Bredeson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,281
N/A
N/A
$4,416
Settled
No
kalshi

Myles Price

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,990
N/A
N/A
$4,179
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Kacmarek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,020
N/A
N/A
$2,124
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,576
N/A
N/A
$1,654
Settled
No
kalshi

DJ Herman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,962
N/A
N/A
$1,960
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

The contest centers on which team or category achieves the first scoring play of the game. The result depends entirely on the sequence of scoring drives and whether any points are put on the board.

Kalshi

These markets determine which entity scores the first touchdown in the Miami vs Minnesota game on October 4, 2026. If the MIN Vikings D/ST, MIA Dolphins D/ST, or No Touchdown category scores the first touchdown, their respective market resolves to Yes. The No Touchdown market resolves to Yes if no touchdowns are scored in the game, with all other player markets resolving to No in that scenario. As with the previous event, participants must take at least one snap for the market to resolve based on gameplay; otherwise, it settles at the pre-game fair market price.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. This often leads to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most up-to-date information and expectations. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges, such as injury reports or changes in weather conditions, influencing the perceived likelihood of each player.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown of the game, as determined by official game statistics. The official scoring play will be the determining factor, and any challenges or reviews will be considered as part of the final result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players, would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the game plan and favor certain players. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or shifts in coaching strategy could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway market sentiment and cause price fluctuations.