TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the combined outcomes of the first half and the full game in a scheduled football match between Miami and Minnesota. Each market specifies a particular scenario where the first half result and the final game result must align exactly for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Miami vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For any market to resolve to Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as stated. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring a specific pairing of first half and full game outcomes to settle positively.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds, as more information becomes available and is incorporated by traders. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, though discrepancies can persist.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Miami vs Minnesota game, specifically the first half and full-time results as determined by official game statistics. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are released. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event could also impact perceptions of team strength. Major announcements about player availability or coaching changes are also likely to cause significant price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.