TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Miami and Loudoun United FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes are based on specific goal-differential thresholds for each team.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Miami and Loudoun United FC in their scheduled USL Championship match on October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcome thresholds define resolution: Miami winning by more than 2.5 goals, Miami winning by more than 1.5 goals, Loudoun United FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Loudoun United FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match result is evaluated exclusively at the end of regulation time; extra time, penalty kicks, or any post-regulation proceedings are excluded from consideration. All markets are independent assessments and do not reflect official league designations or affiliations. Trademark and branding rights remain with their respective owners, and the platform disclaims any formal association with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when public perception strongly diverges from expert analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Miami vs Loudoun United FC match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the game could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or significant changes in team performance could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly move the market, especially closer to the Oct 11, 2026.