TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
For the USL Championship game featuring Miami against Loudoun United FC, this event will confirm if each team scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play. The focus is on whether both clubs find the back of the net during normal match time.
If Miami and Loudoun United FC both score a goal in the Miami vs Loudoun United FC USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook lines, as both attempt to accurately predict the probability of both teams scoring. Examining these differences can be a valuable part of your research.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Miami vs Loudoun United match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a belief in a 'No' outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Miami and Loudoun United FC score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on whether both teams scored or not, paying out to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or Loudoun United FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the likelihood of goals being scored. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert predictions could sway the market as traders adjust their positions based on new information.