TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
The Miami vs DC United contest in the MLS on October 10, 2026 will be analyzed to determine if both teams manage to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalties not considered.
If Miami and DC United both score a goal in the Miami vs DC United MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards what many consider the ‘true’ probability as the event approaches, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams to Score' occurring in the Miami vs DC United match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating greater belief in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time probability assessment driven by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Miami and DC United teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will reflect the probability that the market assigned to that outcome, providing insight into the accuracy of collective predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or DC United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the likelihood of goals being scored. Even public announcements about tactical changes or starting lineups could cause fluctuations in the market price on Kalshi as traders react to new information.