TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives a 79.0% probability to “Tie is the result”, with “Miami wins” at 12.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, per Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the originally scheduled game on October 28, 2026, with a final resolution date estimate of 2026-10-29.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Miami vs Cincinnati professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Miami market occurs if Miami wins the match in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Cincinnati occurs if Cincinnati secures a regulation-time victory. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes are affected by extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation events.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or changes in team performance – you may see the odds on Kalshi adjust more rapidly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This is because the market continuously incorporates new data as traders buy and sell contracts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process leads to odds that are often considered more accurate than those offered by traditional sources, as they aggregate the knowledge of a diverse group of individuals.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Miami vs Cincinnati game as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could all cause shifts in the odds. Weather conditions on game day are also a key consideration, as they can influence the style of play and potentially the outcome. Any significant public statements from key players or coaches could also move the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.