TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.2b
24H VOL:
$325,717,424
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,438,903
422,382
Markets across
39,948
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,398
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:02h:04m
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Miami plays against Charlotte in a soccer game, and the event tracks whether each team scores at least one goal. This reflects the offensive performance of both clubs over the course of the match.
If Miami and Charlotte both score a goal in the Miami vs Charlotte MLS match originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that traders possess information or insights not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the Miami vs Charlotte match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Miami and Charlotte teams score at least one goal during the match. The final scoreline will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted whether both teams would score or not. Traders should monitor official match results to understand the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or Charlotte would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert predictions, could influence trading activity. Finally, major tactical announcements from either team’s manager could cause traders to reassess their probabilities.