TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:02h:44m
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This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Miami and Charlotte. The result is determined solely by the standing after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include a win for either team or a tie.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Miami vs Charlotte professional MLS soccer game scheduled for November 7, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with outcomes covering a win for Miami, a win for Charlotte, or a tie. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to prediction market odds being more efficient, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may factor in a 'vig' or commission that isn't present in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair price for assuming the risk associated with that outcome, and this price fluctuates based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Miami vs Charlotte game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise details of the outcome will be publicly available following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or Charlotte team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as changes in venue or start time, could also lead to price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move this market.