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Closed: Oct 17, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming USL Championship match between Miami and Charleston on October 17, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Miami and Charleston both score a goal in the Miami vs Charleston USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s consensus probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price of the 'Yes' contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Miami and Charleston teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will close and settle based on this verified result, delivering a clear determination of whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome prevailed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or Charleston would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any updates on team form, tactical approaches, or even pre-match interviews from managers could introduce new information and cause the market to react. Unexpected lineup announcements just before kickoff could also cause movement.