TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on determining which player will begin the season as a starting lineup member for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their very first game of the 2026-27 regular season. Each market corresponds to a specific player and resolves based on whether that player is officially listed and actually takes the court as a starter for the opening tip-off.
These markets resolve based on the starting lineup of the Miami Pro Basketball team for their first regular season game in 2026-27. For any given market to resolve to 'Yes,' the specified player must both be officially announced as a starter for that game and actually be on the court at the time of the opening tip-off. If a player is announced as a starter but does not start due to injury, benching, or any other reason, the market resolves to 'No.' The resolution depends solely on the starting status for the opening game, irrespective of any subsequent trades, contract changes, retirements, or player movements before or after the game. Each market evaluates a different potential starter, and only the market corresponding to the actual game-day starter will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.'
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous trading, with prices adjusting based on buying and selling activity. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants about who is most likely to be named a starter. As practice reports and coaching decisions emerge, you’ll see the market price shift to reflect new information and changing expectations among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of Miami’s opening-game starters will settle all positions, and any post-game confirmations from team sources or reputable sports news will finalize the result for all traders on Kalshi.