TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Miami (OH) and UMass in their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially incorporating information faster than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds are established by professional oddsmakers and may initially have an edge due to their expertise and models. It’s common to see differences emerge between this market and sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more public money flows into the prediction market. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in understanding differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the Miami (OH) vs UMass game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher its contract price will be, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Miami (OH) vs UMass team totals.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Miami (OH) and UMass will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the specified thresholds represented by the different contract options. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami (OH) or UMass would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact prices. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.