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413,109

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Miami (OH) vs. UMass
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Miami (OH) vs. UMass?

Volume:
$1,530,356

Miami (OH)

 - Kalshi

Miami (OH) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 5:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami (OH)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$419,150
N/A
N/A
$275,795
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Miami (OH) vs. UMass

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UMass

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,023,225
N/A
N/A
$634,463
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of various outcomes in the Miami (OH) vs. UMass college football game on October 10th, aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the consensus probability of Miami (OH) making 40+ yard field goals – over/under 0.5 – is 100.0%, with Miami (OH) vs. UMass: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 also at 100.0%. Resolution will be based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 10th, as the final score and in-game statistics will determine the outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Consider the implied probability of a tie when trading on Kalshi, as it's not explicitly addressed. Polymarket's markets are more directly tied to the game outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Miami (OH) or UMass wins the game. "If UMass wins the Miami (OH) vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (OH) wins the Miami (OH) vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to either 'Miami (OH)' or 'UMass' depending on which team wins. "This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game. This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Miami (OH) and UMass, scheduled for October 10 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game. This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The current volume of $1,530,356 suggests active trading and a dynamic price discovery process.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different platforms attract different types of traders, leading to variations in price. Polymarket may have a user base with specialized knowledge of college football, while Kalshi might be more influenced by general public opinion. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and liquidity, which can impact trading behavior and price formation. The differing market structures and user demographics contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are attempting to forecast the same event.