TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. The outcomes depend on whether a team exceeds specific point thresholds, offering various levels of difficulty for prediction.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Miami (OH) and Central Michigan in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For each team, multiple thresholds are defined (e.g., over 6.5, 9.5, up to 34.5 points). If a team scores more than the specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the team totals. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Miami (OH) and Central Michigan will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract prices traded on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive 0.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Miami (OH) or Central Michigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift expectations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.