TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Miami (OH) will win its college football game against Central Michigan. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami (OH) a 99.0% probability of winning, while Central Michigan has a 1.0% probability. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan game as reported by the official result, with resolution rules specifying a win for Miami (OH) as a ‘Yes’ outcome. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ depending on the result of the match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of 2026-10-24.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. If Central Michigan wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Miami (OH)'s resolves to No. Conversely, if Miami (OH) wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Central Michigan's resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As a result, you may find that the implied probability of a particular outcome in this market diverges from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s a valuable comparison for anyone seeking a comprehensive view of potential game outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that adapts to new information and changing opinions about the Miami vs Central Michigan game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Miami vs Central Michigan game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Key injuries to star players on either team, significant changes in weather forecasts, or unexpected coaching decisions could all shift expectations and impact the odds. Publicly released news regarding team morale, practice performance, or strategic adjustments could also play a role. Even broader factors, such as shifts in public sentiment or major upsets in other related games, could influence trading behavior and move this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026.