TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:15h:03m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Miami (OH) RedHawks and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Miami (OH) RedHawks and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the winner of the women's college basketball game between Miami (OH) and Southeast Missouri State, scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade, leading to odds driven purely by belief. This market's odds may align with, or diverge from, sportsbook lines depending on public sentiment and information available to traders. Comparing these odds can reveal interesting insights into how different groups perceive the likelihood of various outcomes.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ for several reasons, even when tracking the same event. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to different interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on Polymarket and Kalshi can contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Miami (OH) wins at 56.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Miami (OH) vs. Southeast Missouri State game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on official game results, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score and any relevant announcements to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami (OH) or Southeast Missouri State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect playing conditions, could also move the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any public statements from players or coaches, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations before Nov 5, 2026.