TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. James Madison Dukes
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Miami (OH) vs James Madison?

Total volume:
$16,408
Volume 24h:
$16,285
32,779%
Liquidity:
$21,520
590%
Open interest:
$16,092
15,402%

James Madison

 - Kalshi

James Madison - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 03h:09m:05s

James Madison wins

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 53¢ buys you 189 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $189 | Net Profit: $89 Multiplier: 1.89x | ROI: 89% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

James Madison

Trade
53%
6%
Yes 53¢No 48¢
1¢
N/A
$5,048
32,350%
32,350%
$4,836
3h 9m
Active
polymarket

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. James Madison Dukes

49%
Yes 49¢No 52¢
1¢
$21,520
$51
466%
N/A
N/A
9m
Active
predict

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. James Madison Dukes

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
48.5%
Yes 49¢No 52¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 6¢
kalshi

Miami (OH)

48%
3%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
N/A
$11,309
8,660%
76,793%
$11,256
3h 9m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and the James Madison Dukes, scheduled for November 2nd. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is nonsensical, resolving to 'Yes' for either team winning. Polymarket correctly specifies resolution based on the winning team.Hero tip: Ignore Kalshi's market; it's fundamentally broken. Focus on Polymarket for accurate resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Miami (OH) RedHawks' if Miami (OH) wins and 'James Madison Dukes' if James Madison wins. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either James Madison or Miami (OH) wins the game. This is a flawed resolution condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Miami (OH) RedHawks and James Madison Dukes on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the designated men's college basketball game. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Miami (OH) RedHawks and James Madison Dukes on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Miami vs. James Madison game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $14,196, with $13,960 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the event’s potential results, aggregating predictions from a diverse group of traders. Polymarket currently favors Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. James Madison Dukes at 48.5%, while Kalshi leans toward James Madison wins at 53.0%. The dashboard provides a real-time assessment of expectations as they evolve.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of informed traders. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbook odds, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public betting patterns. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s possible to find discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event approaches. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the game’s potential.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the amount of volume available – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the way each platform handles margin requirements or allows for different order types can impact how traders interact with the market. These variations can result in differing probabilities for the same event, even though both platforms are tracking the same Miami vs. James Madison game.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official outcome of the Miami vs. James Madison game, as determined by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market’s resolution details. The volume of $14,196 suggests significant interest in predicting the result of this contest, and the resolution will provide clarity on the accuracy of those predictions.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Miami (OH) RedHawks or the James Madison Dukes would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also shift expectations. Even broader factors, like weather forecasts for the game location, could play a role. As the game draws closer, any updates related to team performance or player availability will be closely watched by traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, potentially leading to substantial price movements.