TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Notre Dame wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Notre Dame wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:23h:15m
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This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Miami (FL) and Notre Dame, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based on the official final point difference from the Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For markets where Notre Dame wins by a specified margin or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Miami (FL) wins by a specified margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if Miami achieves that margin, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the game's outcome. You may find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as nuanced injury reports or team morale factors. However, as kickoff approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines often converge as more information is priced in by both groups.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Miami vs Notre Dame game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and will reflect the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the game. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or Notre Dame teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting the game, or even late-breaking news about team morale could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also influence trading activity on Kalshi, although the market often incorporates information beyond what is publicly available.