TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:02h:08m
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This prediction group concerns the outcome of the college football game between Miami (FL) and Notre Dame, scheduled for November 7th. Markets exist on the winner of the game, the point spread, over/under totals, and various team and player statistics.
In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Notre Dame, scheduled for November 7 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If Notre Dame wins, the market for Notre Dame resolves to Yes; if Miami (FL) wins, the market for Miami (FL) resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Notre Dame, scheduled for November 7 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to prices driven by collective intelligence. Sportsbooks may also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or promotional offers, whereas this market focuses purely on the probability of the outcome. However, both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket currently favors 1H Spread: Miami (FL) (-1.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Notre Dame wins at 65.0%. Differences in trading fees, margin requirements, or even the time of day can also contribute to these price discrepancies. These variations create opportunities for traders to exploit arbitrage, ultimately driving prices toward a common equilibrium.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Miami vs. Notre Dame game, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. Trading will cease once the outcome is known, and winning positions will be settled accordingly. This allows traders to profit from accurately predicting the result of the game before resolution.
Numerous factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Key injuries to star players on either team, significant changes in weather forecasts, or unexpected coaching decisions could all impact perceived probabilities. News regarding team morale, training performance, or even off-field controversies could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and drive price changes, especially as the game date approaches.