TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds for both teams.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for North Carolina and Miami (FL) in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for one team's scoring; if the team scores above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both sets of odds can offer a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Miami vs North Carolina game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. These prices are determined solely by supply and demand among Kalshi traders, and are not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the core market mechanics.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both Miami and North Carolina are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by the governing body of the event. The market will determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges defined by the available contracts. Traders will be able to see the final results and payouts on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Miami or North Carolina would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in the game location could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could move the market. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.