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Closed: Oct 31, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
Miami (FL) and North Carolina will compete in a college football game on October 31, 2026. A closely contested match could result in overtime if the scores are level at the end of the standard game time.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the game going to overtime. As more buyers enter the market, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of overtime. Conversely, more sellers drive the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, and it dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time probability estimate for the event’s outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Miami vs North Carolina game officially goes to overtime according to the official game results. The final score and official game statistics will be used to determine if the outcome meets the conditions for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The outcome will be based on the official result, not pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Miami or North Carolina teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also influence trading activity. Significant news coverage or expert analysis predicting a close game, or conversely, a blowout, could sway market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations regarding the likelihood of the Miami vs North Carolina game going to overtime.