TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between Miami (FL) and North Carolina. It tracks performance specifically from the midpoint of the game onward, excluding the first half's results. The outcome depends solely on the second-half scoring, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second half (including any overtime periods) of the designated college football game. If North Carolina scores more second-half points, its market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) scores more second-half points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the second half, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored from the start of the second half forward count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the original time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value to informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the second half of the Miami vs North Carolina game will determine the outcome. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports authority, will be used to settle this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final price of the winning contract at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure you understand the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or North Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also impact expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.