TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Miami (FL) and North Carolina, specifically how many points each team might win by during that period. The markets cover various point spreads, allowing participants to assess different possible margins of victory for either team.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For markets where Miami (FL) must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs only if Miami (FL) achieves that margin in the second half; otherwise, the market resolves as No. Conversely, markets requiring North Carolina to win by a certain margin resolve to Yes only if North Carolina meets or exceeds that margin in the second half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result of that game. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized exchange. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in sentiment than sportsbooks, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on their assessment of the game's outcome, and their collective actions determine the market's overall prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Miami vs North Carolina game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game, or even pre-game reports on team morale, could also cause the market to react. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements in this market.