TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group centers around the college football game between Miami (FL) and North Carolina on October 31st. Markets cover the game's outcome, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and various team and player statistics.
In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and North Carolina, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and North Carolina, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game. This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust as more information becomes available and betting action shifts. It's common to see prediction markets and sportsbooks converge over time, but discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases within each system.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, the specific market structures on each platform – such as the types of contracts offered or the fees charged – can influence pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Miami (FL) at 99%, while Predict leans toward Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources of information when evaluating potential outcomes and understanding the nuances of each market.