TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game, specifically analyzing the point differential between the two teams within that initial segment of play.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with varying margins for either team winning by more than the stated points. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public or when there's strong public sentiment surrounding a team. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first quarter of the Miami vs North Carolina game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and reported publicly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or North Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also affect the spread. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, as can large trading volume from informed participants. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift the market’s perception of each team’s chances.