TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the University of Miami (FL) will win its college football game against the University of North Carolina. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami (FL) a 99.0% probability of winning, while North Carolina has a 1.0% probability. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Miami (FL) wins the game scheduled to conclude on October 31, 2026.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If North Carolina wins, the 'North Carolina' market resolves to Yes; if Miami (FL) wins, the 'Miami (FL)' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and incentivize informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds aren't pre-determined but evolve based on supply and demand. The current market depth displays the available contracts and their corresponding prices.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Miami vs North Carolina game, as officially recorded by relevant sporting authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official results to understand the resolution process and ensure transparency in the outcome determination.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also influence trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by actual trading activity. Major weather events potentially impacting game conditions could also move the market as the resolution date approaches.