TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Miami (FL) and Clemson. The resolution depends solely on the point differential during the third quarter, ignoring the rest of the game.
These markets resolve based on the point differential exclusively during the third quarter of the Miami (FL) vs Clemson college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with varying margins of victory required for either Miami (FL) or Clemson to satisfy the condition. If Miami (FL) meets or exceeds the specified point differential in their favor during that quarter, the respective 'Miami (FL) wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Clemson achieves the required margin over Miami (FL) in the third quarter, the corresponding 'Clemson wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks react quickly to news, while this market may take time to incorporate new information. Over time, the two may converge, but differences can persist, offering potential value for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the third quarter of the Miami vs Clemson game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or Clemson teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' strengths and weaknesses could drive trading activity and affect the price of contracts in this market.